| 用信息扩散理论分析高海拔、寒、旱地区矿山事故风险 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王刚 郭德勇 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国矿业大学(北京)资源与安全工程学院, 北京 100083; |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用青海省安全监督管理局数据库近六年以来矿山事故数据,采用信息扩散理论,从矿山事故概率和矿山事故人员死亡概率两个方面对高海拔、寒、旱地区矿山事故进行风险分析,建立了适合本地区特殊要求的矿山事故分析模型.分析模型、参数和预测结果均与实际情况吻合,说明应用信息扩散对高海拔、寒、旱地区矿山事故进行风险分析,能够预测出该地区矿山企业年均发生事故的概率及矿山事故人员死亡概率.
|
| 关 键 词： | 煤矿 事故 信息扩散 风险分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-11-30 |
Risk analysis of mine accidents in high-altitude,cold and drought areas based on the information diffusion theory |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1. School of Resource and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;2. College of Chemical, Qinghai University, Xining 810016, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Mine accident data for nearly 6 years from the work safety administration of Qinghai Province in northwestern China were studied from the two aspects of mine accident probability and mine accident death probability. The risk analysis of mine accidents in high-altitude, cold and drought areas was performed by means of the information diffusion theory. A mine accident model was built which is suitable for these areas with special requirements. The analysis model, parameters and prediction results coincide with the actual situation. It is revealed that the information diffusion theory can be applied to the risk analysis of mine accidents in high-altitude, cold and drought areas and predict the average annual probabilities of mine accidents and personnel death in the mine enterprises for technical support and policy recommendations. |
| |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《》下载全文 |
|
