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Verhulst模型在城市生活垃圾产量预测中的应用
引用本文:周文. Verhulst模型在城市生活垃圾产量预测中的应用[J]. 山西建筑, 2012, 38(19): 218-220
作者姓名:周文
作者单位:福建省建设工程质量安全监督总站,福建福州,350003
摘    要:通过比较若干预测模型的特征,发现Verhulst模型的增长特性与城市生活垃圾产量的增长特性相近,基于该模型对厦门市城市生活垃圾产量进行了预测,发现该模型预测精度较高,2010年~2015年厦门市城市生活垃圾产量增速较小,2015年的产量是2010年的1.2倍。

关 键 词:Verhulst模型  垃圾  产量  预测

The application of Verhulst model in city life rubbish outputs prediction
ZHOU Wen. The application of Verhulst model in city life rubbish outputs prediction[J]. Shanxi Architecture, 2012, 38(19): 218-220
Authors:ZHOU Wen
Affiliation:ZHOU Wen(Fujian Construction Engineering Quality Safety Supervision Station,Fuzhou 350003,China)
Abstract:Through the comparison of features of several forecast models,this paper found the growth characteristics of Verhulst model closed to the growth characteristics of city life rubbish outputs,based on this model this paper predicted the city life rubbish outputs of Xiamen city,it is found that the model had high prediction accuracy,2010 to 2015,the city life rubbish outputs growth of Xiamen city was small,the output of 2015 was 1.2 times of 2010.
Keywords:Verhulst model  rubbish  output  forecast
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