Geothermal energy utilization trends from a technological paradigm perspective |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;2. Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;1. Renewable Energy Research Group, Department of Building and Service Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China;2. College of Energy and Power Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China;1. Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy;2. Department of Energy, Information Engineering and Mathematical Models, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy;3. Department of Engineering, University of Naples Parthenope, Naples, Italy;1. Industrial Process and Energy Systems Engineering (IPESE), École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland;2. Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States;3. Cornell Energy Institute, 2160 Snee Hall, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States |
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| Abstract: | The use of geothermal energy and its associated technologies has been increasing worldwide. However, there has been little paradigmatic research conducted in this area. This paper proposes a systematic methodology to research the development trends for the sustainable development of geothermal energy. A novel data analysis system was created to research the geothermal energy utilization trends, and a technological paradigm theory was adopted to explain the technological changes. A diffusion velocity model was used to simulate and forecast the geothermal power generation development in the diffusion phase. Simulation results showed that the development of installed capacity for geothermal generation had a strong inertia force along with the S-curve. Power generation from geothermal power sources reached a peak in 2008 and is estimated to be saturated by 2030. Geothermal energy technologies in hybrid power systems based on other renewable energy sources look to be more promising in the future. |
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| Keywords: | Geothermal energy utilization Technological paradigm Literature mining Electricity generation |
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