Exploring the potential of hydrogen in decarbonizing China's light-duty vehicle market |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Aramco Research Center–Detroit, Aramco Americas, 46535 Peary Ct., Novi, MI 48377, USA;2. Buildings and Transportation Science Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 2360 Cherahala Blvd, Knoxville, TN 37932, USA;3. Department of Industrial and Enterprise System Engineering, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, 104 S Mathews Ave, Urbana, IL 61801, USA;4. Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Engineering Science Building, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USA;5. Energy Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL 60439, USA;6. Department of Mechanical, Materials, and Aerospace Engineering, Armour College of Engineering, Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago, IL 60616, USA |
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| Abstract: | The Chinese government has pledged to achieve overall carbon neutrality by 2060. Currently, the transportation sector contributes to about 10% of total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in China. Hence, China has created a well-defined energy vehicle development strategy to reduce GHG emissions from the transportation sector, further expanding into hydrogen vehicle technologies. In this study, the Transportation Energy Analysis Model (TEAM) investigates the potential of hydrogen internal combustion engine vehicles (H2-ICEVs) and fuel cell vehicles (FCEVs) as a reliable pathway towards the government's aspiration of carbon neutrality in the transportation sector. According to TEAM, by adopting FCEVs and H2-ICEVs in the vehicle market, hydrogen demand could reach 25% of the total light-duty transportation energy demand in 2050. Consequently, this will lead to an annual reduction of more than 35 million tons GHG compared to only counting on the electrification pathway in the decarbonization task. Besides, FCEVs would take longer to penetrate the light-duty vehicle market compared to H2-ICEVs, as the current fuel cell technology still requires much improvement to attain a competitive vehicle cost of production. |
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| Keywords: | Vehicle market penetration Life-cycle analysis Greenhouse gas emissions Hydrogen China |
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