| 时间序列预报法在供热控制中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 齐维贵,朱学莉.时间序列预报法在供热控制中的应用研究[J].电子学报,2003,31(2):268-270. |
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| 作者姓名： | 齐维贵 朱学莉 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨工业大学电气工程及自动化学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150001 |
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| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省自然科学基金 (No E0 0 1 2 ) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了节能和优质供热,提出将负荷预报和预测控制施加于供热系统中.文中首先介绍了时间序列法预报原理,接着应用该原理给出供热负荷和模型误差的预报.负荷预报作为供热系统的设定值,模型误差作为预测控制的校正量.最后,给出了两种预报方法在供热系统的应用及仿真结果.
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列 负荷预报 预测控制 误差校正 |
| 文章编号： | 0372-2112(2003)02-0268-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2002-01-24 |
A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control |
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| QI Wei gui,ZHU Xue li.A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control[J].Acta Electronica Sinica,2003,31(2):268-270. |
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| Authors: | QI Wei gui ZHU Xue li |
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| Affiliation: | Electric Engineering and Automation College,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin,Heilongjiang 150001,China |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents the application of heating load prediction and predictive control in the heat supply system for energy saving and high grade heat supply.First,it introduces time series analysis principle.Then,heating load and model error prediction are given by this principle.The load forecast is used as set point of heat supply system,and model error is used as corrected value of predictive control.Finally,the application of two prediction methods in heat supply system and simulation result are given. |
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| Keywords: | time series load prediction predictive control error correction |
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