基于累积参数模型巡航导弹毁伤概率计算

累积参数模型、期望值点炸模型和随机点炸模型是目前用于目标易损性分析与毁伤评估的主要模型．基于平行网格射击线技术和蒙特卡洛方法，利用累积参数模型建立巡航导弹易损性分析仿真平台，进行动能弹丸打击下巡航导弹毁伤概率（Pk／h）研究．对巡航导弹毁伤概率随动能弹丸速度、打击方位角和高低角变化规律进行深入分析，为巡航导弹毁伤机理与终点效应研究提供重要参考．

Damage Probability Calculation of Cruise Missile Based on Lumped-Parameter Model

Lumped-parameter model,expected-value point-burst model and stochastic point-burst model are the main models applicative to targets vulnerability analysis and damage assessment.Based on parallel grid of equally-spaced shot lines technique and Monte Carlo method,it uses the lumped-parameter model to build simulation platform for vulnerability analysis,which is used to calculate damage probability of the cruise missile under the hit of kinetic energy projectile.Effects of the projectile velocity,the hit azimuth angle and elevation angle on the damage probability are analyzed and discussed.These results are significant to the research of damage mechanism and terminal effect of the cruise missile.