| 基于多因素分析的复杂电力系统安全风险评估体系 |
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| 引用本文： | 王博,游大海,尹项根,陈庆前.基于多因素分析的复杂电力系统安全风险评估体系[J].电网技术,2011(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王博 游大海 尹项根 陈庆前 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中科技大学电气与电子工程学院;国家电力监管委员会南方监管局; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(50877031)~~ |
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| 摘 要： | 以大面积停电事件多因素分析为基础,利用事故树分析和层次分析方法建立了一套具有客观性、实用性、适用性的电力系统安全风险评估体系。该体系可发挥政府部门在统筹、协调、组织社会资源方面的管理优势,以及电力企业在电力安全稳定运行方面的技术优势,从而更全面地降低电力系统安全风险,防止大面积停电事件发生。最后利用该评估体系对国内某省级电力系统进行了实际评估,得到了该电力系统的大面积停电风险水平。评估结果验证了评估方法和评估指标的可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 安全风险评估 复杂电力系统 层次分析法 大面积停电 事故树分析 |
A Security Risk Assessment System of Complicated Power Grid Based on Multiple Factor Analysis |
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| WANG Bo,YOU Dahai,YIN Xianggen,CHEN Qingqian.A Security Risk Assessment System of Complicated Power Grid Based on Multiple Factor Analysis[J].Power System Technology,2011(1). |
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| Authors: | WANG Bo YOU Dahai YIN Xianggen CHEN Qingqian |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Bo1,YOU Dahai1,YIN Xianggen1,CHEN Qingqian2(1.College of Electrical & Electronic Engineering,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,Hubei Province,China,2.South China Bureau of State Electricity Regulatory Commission,Guangzhou 510180,Guangdong Province,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on multiple factor analysis of large area blackout accidents and by use of fault tree analysis and analytic hierarchy process(AHP),a security risk assessment system,which is objective,practicable and applicable for complicated power grid,is established.This assessment system can fully bring government departments' management advantages in overall planning,coordination and organization of social resources as well as technical superiority of electric power enterprises in secure and stable operation of p... |
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| Keywords: | security risk assessment complicated power grid analytic hierarchy process large-area blackout fault tree analysis |
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