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指数平滑法在服装消费水平预测研究中的应用
引用本文:许文武,刘国联.指数平滑法在服装消费水平预测研究中的应用[J].丝绸,2009(1).
作者姓名:许文武  刘国联
作者单位:苏州大学,材料工程学院,江苏,苏州,215021
摘    要:以2000-2006年<中国统计年鉴>的服装消费水平数据为基础,运用指数平滑预测法对中国城镇居民的服装消费水平进行实证研究,结果表明指数平滑法是服装消费水平预测的一种有效方法.

关 键 词:服装消费水平  指数平滑法  城镇居民

Application of Exponential Smoothing Method to Predict the Clothing Consumption Level
XU Wen-wu,LIU Guo-lian.Application of Exponential Smoothing Method to Predict the Clothing Consumption Level[J].Silk Monthly,2009(1).
Authors:XU Wen-wu  LIU Guo-lian
Affiliation:College of Material Engineering;Soochow University;Suzhou 215021;China
Abstract:In this paper,the clothing consumption level of resident subsisted in cities and towns was researched by using exponential smoothing method based on the data of clothing consumption level noted in the yearbooks from 2000yrs to 2006yrs.The result showed that this method was an effective way to predict the market of clothing.
Keywords:Consumption level of clothing  Exponential smoothing  Resident of cities and towns  
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