| 基于情景模型预测的半导体照明节能潜力 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘虹,张清源.基于情景模型预测的半导体照明节能潜力[J].照明工程学报,2011,22(6):1-3,30. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘虹 张清源 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 国家发展改革委能源研究所,北京,100038
2. 首都师范大学附中,北京,100037 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于未来半导体照明新技术发展水平和通过建立照明消费的定量分析模型,就半导体照明对我国未来照明用电量的影响进行了多情景预测分析。研究结果表明：通过国家大力推行长期性的半导体照明节电计划,到2030—2050年,我国照明用电可实现40%～50%的节能率。
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| 关 键 词： | LED照明 节能潜力 情景分析 |
A Modeling Scenario Analysis of Energy Saving Potentials for LED Lighting |
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| Liu Hong,Zhang Qingyuan.A Modeling Scenario Analysis of Energy Saving Potentials for LED Lighting[J].China Illuminating Engineering Journal,2011,22(6):1-3,30. |
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| Authors: | Liu Hong Zhang Qingyuan |
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| Affiliation: | Liu Hong1 Zhang Qingyuan 2(1.Energy Research Institute of National Development and Planning Commission,Beijing 100038,2.High School of Capital Normal University,Beijing 100037) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the technical renovation road-map of LED lighting and by establishing a quantitative model analysis,this paper has presented several scenarios of how LED lighting impact on China's energy consumption of lighting.The analysis results show that energy saving rates for lighting can be reached to as much as 40%~50% during the year from 2030 to 2050 respectively through national's larger-scales and long-term promoting program for LED Lighting. |
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| Keywords: | LED Lighting energy saving potential scenario analysis |
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