Abstract: | Partial discharge is one of the causes of deterioration of insulating polymer materials subjected to high voltages. In this case, the deterioration that is caused by partial discharges in gaps, such as voids inside an insulator, is of particular importance. In this study, the prediction of tree initiation due to partial discharge occurring in voids is considered. New tree initiation diagnostic methods are proposed by measuring discharge magnitude and discharge luminescence in each phase angle section of the applied voltage. It is noted that some samples revealed different time dependence of partial discharge patterns even under the same measurement condition. These patterns were the case of occurrence of swarming pulsive micro discharges (SPMDs) before tree initiation and the case of no occurrence of SPMDs. The prediction of tree initiation by using moving average of the discharge magnitude is discussed. We propose the parameters to reflect a pre‐tree initiation mode and also evaluate their usefulness for the prediction of tree initiation by using moving average analysis. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Electr Eng Jpn, 143(2): 22–29, 2003; Published online in Wiley InterScience ( www.interscience.wiley.com ). DOI 10.1002/eej.10076 |