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潘家口水库洪水预报误差分布研究
引用本文:王宇琪,康爱卿.潘家口水库洪水预报误差分布研究[J].水利科技与经济,2009,15(5):428-430.
作者姓名:王宇琪  康爱卿
作者单位:华北水利水电学院,郑州,450011
摘    要:以误差分析的概括分布指数分布为基础,通过解析拟合来研究洪水预报误差的分布规律。通过计算认为潘家口水库入库洪水预报误差近似属于正态分布,并通过了柯尔莫哥洛夫法检验。在此基础上对预报结果进行了误差修正。

关 键 词:洪水预报  误差分布  误差修正  潘家口水库

Study the Distribution of Flood Forecasting Error for Panjiakou Reservoir
WANG Yu-qi,KANG Ai-qing.Study the Distribution of Flood Forecasting Error for Panjiakou Reservoir[J].Water Conservancy Science and Technology and Economy,2009,15(5):428-430.
Authors:WANG Yu-qi  KANG Ai-qing
Affiliation:WANG Yu - qi, KANG Ai - qing (North China University of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Zhengzhou 450011, China)
Abstract:Based on the index distribution of error analysis, this article explore the reglulary of the distilbution of flood forecasting error through the fitting analysis. By calculating, we think that the inflow flood prediction error of Panjiakou Reservoir is similar to belong to the normal distribution, which adopted the Kolmogorov test. Then, the results of forecasting error is correctioned on this basis. It is great important for the flood forecasting and reservior manangement.
Keywords:flood forecasting  error analysis  error distribution  Panjiakou Reservior
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