Prevalence, incidence, and risks for HIV-1 infection in female sex workers in Miami, Florida

Annual cross-sectional prevalence, incidence of new infection, and risks for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection were studied in 607 women convicted of prostitution between October 1987 and December 1990 and tested for HIV under court order. Cross-sectional prevalence was stable for 4 years (23-24% positivity in 1987-1991, p = 0.6). However, the incidence of new infections (rate of seroconversion) in 264 women tested more than once increased significantly each year from 12 per 100 person-years in 1987-1988 to 19 per 100 person-years in 1991 (p < 0.03). Seroconverters were more likely to be young black women with a prior history of syphilis or gonorrhea. A new episode of syphilis or rectal gonorrhea during the follow-up period predicted HIV seroconversion in a survival analysis model. Female sex workers are at great risk of acquiring HIV infection. Although HIV prevalence in cross-sectional samples was stable, incidence was increasing. Interpretation of prevalence trends from convenience samples, such as screening programs, may be difficult because changes in incidence may not be detected.