反潜助飞鱼雷命中概率影响因素仿真分析

针对影响反潜助飞鱼雷作战效果的主要因素，基于反潜助飞鱼雷弹道特征分析，建立反潜助飞鱼雷空中与水下弹道模型。结合敌潜艇典型机动规避样式，按照反潜助飞鱼雷反潜作战流程编制仿真程序，定量分析射程、落点偏差和主动自导作用距离对反潜助飞鱼雷命中目标概率的影响。结果表明，该分析对反潜助飞鱼雷作战能力仿真、试验和训练方案的制定具有一定的理论指导意义。

Simulation Analysis of Influence Factors on Hit Probability of Anti-submarine Assisted Torpedo

Aiming at the main factors affecting the operational effect of anti-submarine assisted torpedo, the air and underwater trajectory models of anti-submarine assisted torpedo are established based on the analysis of its trajectory characteristics. According to the typical maneuver evasion style of enemy submarine, the simulation program was compiled according to the anti-submarine warfare process of anti-submarine assisted torpedo, and the influence of range, impact point deviation and active homing range on the hit probability of anti-submarine assisted torpedo was quantitatively analyzed. The results show that the analysis has a certain theoretical guiding significance for the simulation, test and training scheme of the anti-submarine assisted torpedo combat capability.