| 我国铜工业与经济发展相关性研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 永学艳,陈建宏. 我国铜工业与经济发展相关性研究[J]. 有色冶金设计与研究, 2010, 31(6): 5-8 |
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| 作者姓名： | 永学艳 陈建宏 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国瑞林工程技术有限公司,江西南昌330002 [2]中南大学资源与安全工程学院,湖南长沙410083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目，全国优秀博士学位论文作者专项基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 立足我国铜工业现状,根据计量经济学理论与方法,结合1990～2009年铜消费及GDP数据,利用Eviews5.1软件作实证分析,结果表明铜消费与GDP间存在协整关系以及双向因果关系。须努力提高国内及海外铜资源开采力度、增加再生铜产量来提升我国铜供应能力,同时调低铜冶炼及加工业产能的扩张速度,以确保国内铜工业产业链协调发展及促进国民经济持续快速发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 铜工业 协整检验 因果检验 铜产业链 |
Correlation Study of China's copper industry and economic development |
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| YONG Xue-yan,CHEN Jian-hong. Correlation Study of China's copper industry and economic development[J]. , 2010, 31(6): 5-8 |
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| Authors: | YONG Xue-yan CHEN Jian-hong |
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| Affiliation: | 1.China Nerin Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Nanchang,Jiangxi 330002,China;2.School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha,Hunan 410083,China) |
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| Abstract: | Eviews5.1 was used for empirical analysis in this article,based on present situation of copper industry,according to the theory and methods of econometrics,combined the data of copper consumption and gdp by 1990-2009.The results indicated that copper consumption and gdp has a coordinating relationship and bilateral causality.Must strive to improve domestic and overseas mining strength of copper resources、increase production of reclaimed copper to upgrade our supply abilities of copper in china,at the same time reduce expansion of copper smelt and work,to ensure that domestic copper industry chain the coordinated development and the national economy maintains sustained and rapid development. |
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| Keywords: | copper industry co-integration test granger causality test copper industry chain |
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