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基于模糊灰色理论的溃坝社会影响评价
引用本文:冯迪江,王志军,石元辉.基于模糊灰色理论的溃坝社会影响评价[J].黑龙江水专学报,2009,36(2):1-4.
作者姓名:冯迪江  王志军  石元辉
作者单位:1. 诸暨市水利水电局,浙江,诸暨,311800
2. 河海大学,水利水电工程学院,南京,210098
3. 新昌县水利水电局,浙江,新昌,312000
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目 
摘    要:为评价大坝溃坝造成的社会影响,根据溃坝社会影响的特点及实际操作的需要,建立了溃坝社会影响评价指标体系,拟定了溃坝社会影响等级标准。引入模糊灰色理论,建立了基于模糊灰色理论的溃坝社会影响评价模型,并应用于刘家台水库大坝溃决事件,结果表明该评价方法操作性强,效果较好。

关 键 词:溃坝  社会影响  模糊灰色理论  评价

Dam-break Social Impact Assessment Based on Fuzzy Grey Method
FENG Di-jiang,WANG Zhi-jun,SHI Yuan-hui.Dam-break Social Impact Assessment Based on Fuzzy Grey Method[J].Journal of Heilongjiang Hydraulic Engineering College,2009,36(2):1-4.
Authors:FENG Di-jiang  WANG Zhi-jun  SHI Yuan-hui
Affiliation:1.Zhuji Water Conservancy Bureau;Zhuji 311800;Zhejiang;China;2.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering;Hohai University;Nanjing 210098;3.Xinchang Water Conservancy Bureau;Xinchang 312000;China
Abstract:In order to estimate social impact caused by dam-break,assessment index system of dam-break social impact is constructed.The social impact grade criterion of dam-break is drawn up.The assessment model of dam-break social impact based on fuzzy grey method is established.The application of the model to Liujiatai dam-break shows that the model is highly operational with good effect.
Keywords:dam-break  social impact  fuzzy grey method  assessment  
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