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Time‐Transformed Unit Root Tests for Models with Non‐Stationary Volatility
Authors:Giuseppe Cavaliere  A. M. Robert Taylor
Affiliation:University of Bologna and University of Nottingham
Abstract:Abstract. Conventional unit root tests are known to be unreliable in the presence of permanent volatility shifts. In this paper, we propose a new approach to unit root testing which is valid in the presence of a quite general class of permanent variance changes which includes single and multiple (abrupt and smooth transition) volatility change processes as special cases. The new tests are based on a time transformation of the series of interest which automatically corrects their form for the presence of non‐stationary volatility without the need to specify any parametric model for the volatility process. Despite their generality, the new tests perform well even in small samples. We also propose a class of tests for the null hypothesis of stationary volatility in (near‐) integrated time‐series processes.
Keywords:Unit root tests  non‐stationary volatility  variance profile  time‐transformed data
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