| 基于复杂适应系统理论的漳河上游水资源系统分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邵玲玲,牛文娟,唐 凡.基于复杂适应系统理论的漳河上游水资源系统分析[J].水资源与水工程学报,2014,25(5):119-123. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邵玲玲 牛文娟 唐 凡 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学管理科学研究所,南京,211100 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金资助项目(10CGL051)；水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201201091)；中央高校基本科研业务费项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 漳河上游是典型的缺水流域,对流域水资源系统进行合理的分析是进行水资源优化配置的前提。本文基于复杂适应系统理论,分析了漳河上游水资源系统的基本特性和机制,并证明该系统是一个复杂适应系统。并在此分析框架下对系统演进的实现路径进行深入探索。最终得出:只要政府正确引导,用水户积极响应,系统必然朝着高效利用水资源的方向演进。
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| 关 键 词： | 复杂适应系统 水资源系统 系统分析 系统演进 漳河上游 |
Analysis of water resources system in upper reaches of Zhanghe river based complex adaptive system theory |
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| SHAO Lingling,NIU Wenjuan,TANG Fan.Analysis of water resources system in upper reaches of Zhanghe river based complex adaptive system theory[J].Journal of water resources and water engineering,2014,25(5):119-123. |
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| Authors: | SHAO Lingling NIU Wenjuan TANG Fan |
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| Abstract: | The upper reaches of Zhanghe River is a typical water scarcity basin.The rational analysis of water resources system is the premise of optimal allocation of water resources. This paper analyzed the basic characteristics and mechanisms of water resources system of upper reaches of Zhanghe River based on complex adaptive system (CAS) theory and proved that it is a complex adaptive system. Based on this analysis framework,the paper made a deep exploration on evolution road.In the end, the results conclude that as long as government guides water users correctly and water users make active response, the system will inevitably evolve towards the direction of efficient utilization of water resources. |
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| Keywords: | complex adaptive system water resources system system analysis system evolution upper reaches of Zhanghe rive |
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