长江上游水库群非线性安全度防洪调度策略

以长江上游水库群(溪洛渡、向家坝、紫坪铺、瀑布沟、亭子口)为研究对象,提出了长江上游水库群联合防洪调度系统非线性安全度策略,构建水库群防洪库容优化分配模型,深入探讨水库群系统非线性安全度策略的防洪效果。结果表明,与线性安全度策略相比,非线性安全度策略在不降低对下游防洪效果的基础上,通过增加使用其他水库的防洪库容,以减小使用溪洛渡水库的防洪库容,使得各水库防洪库容的使用相对均衡,使各水库均衡地分摊防洪区域的防洪风险,充分发挥水库群的防洪效益,保障水库群系统稳定安全运行。

Nonlinear safety degree flood control strategy of multi-reservoirs in upper Yangtze River

The reservoirs(Xiluodu, Xiangjiaba, Zipingpu, Pubugou, and Tingzikou)in the upper Yangtze River were considered as the object of study. A nonlinear safety degree strategy for the joint flood control system of the multi-reservoirs in the upper Yangtze River was proposed, based on which a flood storage capacity optimization distribution model for multi-reservoirs was constructed and an in-depth discussion for the flood control effect of the nonlinear safety degree strategy was conducted. The results show that compared with linear safety degree strategy of multi-reservoirs, the flood control capacity of Xiluodu reservoir can be less consumed by increasing the usage of the flood control capacity in other reservoirs by the nonlinear strategy in the condition that the flood control effect of the downstream is not deteriorated. The application of the nonlinear safety degree strategy can relatively balance the flood storage capacity allocation of the reservoirs, make the reservoirs share the flood risk of the flood control areas, give full play to the flood control benefits of the reservoirs, and ensure the stable and safe operation of the multi-reservoir system.