贝叶斯网络的复杂配电网可靠性评估

为使电力市场环境下电网供电可靠性与经济性之间达到最大满意度,综合考虑负荷转移过程中的网络约束条件,建立贝叶斯网络模型,运用其特有的双向推理方法,不仅能起到配电系统可靠性指标评估的传统方法的作用,更能定量地分析出各元件对系统可靠性的影响,得出系统的薄弱环节,为系统的改进提供依据.并且对IEEE4中馈线1进行实例分析,证明了贝叶斯网络方法在配电网可靠性分析中是可行且高效的.

Reliability Assessment of Complex Distribution Network Basing on Bayesian Network

In order to reinforce the foundation of maximum satisfaction between the reliability and ecomomy in the electricity market environment,considering network constraints in the process of load transfer,the Bayesian network model is established,which uses the unique bi-directional reasoning method.This model not only plays a role in distribution system reliability evaluation indicators,but also quantitatively analyses the impact of the components on the system to provide the basis for improving the system.This ...