Managing the risks from the water-related impacts of extreme weather and uncertain climate change on inland aquaculture in Northern Thailand |
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Authors: | Louis Lebel Phimphakan Lebel Chanagun Chitmanat Anuwat Uppanunchai Chusit Apirumanekul |
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Affiliation: | 1. Unit for Social and Environmental Research, School of Public Policy, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand;2. School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australiallebel@loxinfo.co.th louis@sea-user.org;4. School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia;5. Faculty of Fisheries Technology and Aquatic Resources, Maejo University, Chiang Mai, Thailand;6. Department of Fisheries, Lamphun Inland Fisheries Research and Development Center, Lamphun, Thailand;7. Stockholm Environment Institute – Asia Office, Bangkok, Thailand |
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Abstract: | ABSTRACTClimate change will have significant impacts on inland aquaculture. This article assesses the robustness of a set of potential adaptation strategies for Northern Thailand using a rule-based assessment model to synthesize information from secondary sources, fish farmers, officials and experts. The net benefits of different strategy types vary substantially with water demand and fish demand, as well as future climate. No-regret and low-regret strategies are worthwhile under a broad range of conditions, but may not be sufficient to maintain profitability as the negative impacts of climate change unfold. The main implication is that adaptation pathways must be flexible. |
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Keywords: | Inland aquaculture climate change adaptation strategies risk management Northern Thailand |
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