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过水围堰导流系统瞬时风险分析
引用本文:李本强,胡颖.过水围堰导流系统瞬时风险分析[J].水电能源科学,1997,15(2):42-46.
作者姓名:李本强  胡颖
作者单位:南昌大学
摘    要:结合过水围堰导流系统的实际研究了导流期间系统任一瞬时的风险分析,定义了系统的模糊失效状态,并建立了相应的瞬时风险分析模型,为定量分析系统修复能力及风险控制等提供理论依据。

关 键 词:施工导流  瞬时风险  过水围堰  导流系统

INSTANTANEOUS RISK ANALYSIS OF THE DIVERSION SYSTEM WITH OVERTOPPED COFFERDAM
Li Benqiang,Hu Yin,Shi Kebin.INSTANTANEOUS RISK ANALYSIS OF THE DIVERSION SYSTEM WITH OVERTOPPED COFFERDAM[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,1997,15(2):42-46.
Authors:Li Benqiang  Hu Yin  Shi Kebin
Abstract:The instantaneous risk analysis is an important aspect of the risk analysis of construction diversion system. Considering the realities of the construction diversion system with overtopped cofferdam, this paper analyses the case of its instantaneous state change and defines its Fuzzy failure state. With nonhomogeneous poisson process, an instantaneous risk model of the construction diversion system with overtopped cofferdam is developed. Using the model, we can not only obtain the instantaneous risk but also have the theory base of deciding repair rate, and soon. The research results show the model is practicable.
Keywords:construction diversion  instantaneous risk  Fuzzy failure  overtopped cofferdam  
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