| 陕西省FDI对进出口贸易影响的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 董秘刚,周慧君,苏子微.陕西省FDI对进出口贸易影响的实证分析[J].西安邮电学院学报,2009,14(4):32-36. |
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| 作者姓名： | 董秘刚 周慧君 苏子微 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西北大学,经济管理学院,陕西,西安,710127
2. 西安邮电学院,经济与贸易系,陕西,西安,710061 |
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| 基金项目： | 陕西省教育厅专项基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1985～2007年间统计数据,运用协整分析方法和误差修正模型,对陕西省FDI对进出口贸易的影响进行实证分析。结果表明:就长期而言,陕西FDI与进出口贸易之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,FDI增长明显促进了出口贸易的增长,但对进口贸易的影响则并不显著;从短期来看,FDI与进出口贸易的关系由短期偏离向长期均衡调整的速度较快。
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| 关 键 词： | 陕西省 外商直接投资(EDI) 进出口贸易 协整分析 误差修正模型 |
An empirical analysis of FDI's impact on imports and exports in Shaanxi Province |
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| DONG Mi-gang,ZHOU Hui-jun,SU Zi-wei.An empirical analysis of FDI's impact on imports and exports in Shaanxi Province[J].Journal of Xi'an Institute of Posts and Telecommunications,2009,14(4):32-36. |
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| Authors: | DONG Mi-gang ZHOU Hui-jun SU Zi-wei |
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| Affiliation: | DONG Mi - gang, ZHOU Hui - jun, SU Zi - wei (1. School of Economics and Management,Northwest University, Xi＇an 710127,China; 2. Department of Economy and Trade, Xi＇an University of Posts and Teleoommtmications, Xi＇an 710061,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistics of Shaanxi Province from 1985 to 2007, and by using Cointegration Analysis and Error Correction Model, we study the FDI＇ s impact on the imports and exports. The results show as follows： seen from a long term,there is a steady equilibrium between FDI and import - export trade. The growth of FDI promotes the exports apparently, however, the impact of FDI on the imports is inapparent; seen from a short term,the relationship between FDI and import-export trade adjusts apace from short- term departure to long - term equilibrium. |
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| Keywords: | Shaanxi Province foreign direct investment（FDI ） import - export trade cointegration analysis error correction model |
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