| 南平市年平均气温变化趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 金保明,方国华. 南平市年平均气温变化趋势分析[J]. 水电能源科学, 2009, 27(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 金保明 方国华 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学,水利水电工程学院,江苏,南京,210098;南平市水利局,福建,南平,353000;河海大学,水利水电工程学院,江苏,南京,210098 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用Kendall秩次相关检验与重标极差R/S相结合的分析方法对闽江上游南平市年平均气温变化趋势进行了研究.结果表明,南平市年平均气温近50 a来总体呈上升趋势,尤其近年较显著,未来几年仍有上升趋势.该方法能较好地揭示气温变化的趋势特征,且可用于分析其他水文时间序列变化趋势,为流域防汛备汛提供科学依据.
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| 关 键 词： | Kendall检验法 R/S法 年平均气温 变化趋势 |
Analysis of Variation Tendency of Annual Mean Temperature of Nanping City |
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| JIN Baoming,FANG Guohua. Analysis of Variation Tendency of Annual Mean Temperature of Nanping City[J]. International Journal Hydroelectric Energy, 2009, 27(4) |
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| Authors: | JIN Baoming FANG Guohua |
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| Affiliation: | 1.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering;Hohai University;Nanjing 210098;China;2.Water Conservancy Bureau of Nanping City;Nanping 353000;China |
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| Abstract: | The Kendall Relevant Test of Order and Rescaled Range Analysis(R/S) combinative method was applied in analyzing variation trend of the annual mean temperature of Nanping in the upper Minjiang River.The results showed this approach is well validated through analysis and calculation.In general,the annual mean temperature of Nanping had been increased in the last fifty years,during which it rised significantly for the recent years.Based on analysis,the tendency of temperature variation remains positive.Similar... |
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| Keywords: | Kendall method R/S method annually mean temperature variation tendency |
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