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三参数Weibull分布下基于BRM的LED照明灯寿命预测
引用本文:张建平,陈文龙,陈晓,应开雄,成国梁,邱迎吉,金蓓雯.三参数Weibull分布下基于BRM的LED照明灯寿命预测[J].液晶与显示,2015,30(3):525-530.
作者姓名:张建平  陈文龙  陈晓  应开雄  成国梁  邱迎吉  金蓓雯
作者单位:1. 上海电力学院 能源与机械工程学院, 上海 200090;
2. 上海天逸电器股份有限公司, 上海 201611;
3. 浙江京东方显示技术有限公司, 浙江 绍兴 312000
基金项目:上海市优秀学科带头人计划(B类)项目(No.13XD1425200);上海市教育委员会科研创新项目(No.14ZZ154);上海市科委部分地方院校能力建设项目(No.13160501000);国家自然科学基金项目(No.50706025, No.51201097)
摘    要:为了在短时间内准确获得LED照明灯的寿命信息,以3组恒定加速应力的试验数据为基础,采用三参数Weibull函数描述其寿命分布,基于双线性回归法(BRM)对试验数据进行处理分析,并利用自行开发的寿命预测软件较为精确地得出LED照明灯在正常工作应力下的寿命。数值结果表明,LED照明灯的寿命服从三参数Weibull分布,其加速模型符合Arrhenius方程,精确预测的LED照明灯寿命为工程技术人员关于产品的可靠性设计提供技术参考。

关 键 词:Weibull函数  Arrhenius方程  BRM  LED照明灯  寿命预测
收稿时间:2014-07-11

Life prediction of LED lamps based on BRM under three-parameter weibull distribution
ZHANG Jian-ping,CHEN Wen-long,CHEN Xiao,YING Kai-xiong,CHENG Guo-liang,QIU Ying-ji,JIN Bei-wen.Life prediction of LED lamps based on BRM under three-parameter weibull distribution[J].Chinese Journal of Liquid Crystals and Displays,2015,30(3):525-530.
Authors:ZHANG Jian-ping  CHEN Wen-long  CHEN Xiao  YING Kai-xiong  CHENG Guo-liang  QIU Ying-ji  JIN Bei-wen
Affiliation:1. College of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China;
2. Shanghai Tayee Electric Co. LTD., Shanghai 201611, China;
3. Zhejiang Jingdongfang Display Technology Co., Ltd, Shaoxing 312000, China
Abstract:In order to accurately obtain the life information of LED lamps in a short time, three-parameter Weibull function was applied to describing the life distribution based on three groups of constant-stress accelerated life test data. The processing and analysis on test data was achieved by Bilinear Regression Method (BRM), and the self-developed life prediction software was employed to precisely calculate the life of LED lamps under normal working stress. The numerical results show that the LED lamps life submits to three-parameter Weibull distribution, and the accelerated model meets the Arrhenius equation. The LED lamps' life predicted precisely can provide technical references for engineering technicians with regard to the product's reliability design.
Keywords:Weibull function  Arrhenius equation  BRM  LED lamps  life prediction
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