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基于优化GM(1,1)模型的矿井涌水量预测及算法实现
引用本文:高志扬,徐杰.基于优化GM(1,1)模型的矿井涌水量预测及算法实现[J].矿业安全与环保,2013(1):74-76,88.
作者姓名:高志扬  徐杰
作者单位:河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院;河南中平能化集团八矿
摘    要:针对矿井涌水量预测过程中受各种因素的影响,预测精度较低的问题,基于GM(1,1)模型提出优化GM(1,1)模型。分别建立GM(1,1)模型及优化GM(1,1)模型,并对某矿2002—2010年矿井平均涌水量进行模拟计算,结果显示优化GM(1,1)模型模拟精度较高。利用MATLAB设计优化GM(1,1)模型的计算程序,解决了计算过程复杂、计算量大的问题。

关 键 词:矿井涌水量  预测  优化GM(1  1)模型  MATLAB

Prediction of Water Inflow in Coal Mine Based on Optimized GM(1,1) Model and Its Algorithm Implementation
GAO Zhiyang,XU Jie.Prediction of Water Inflow in Coal Mine Based on Optimized GM(1,1) Model and Its Algorithm Implementation[J].Mining Safety & Environmental Protection,2013(1):74-76,88.
Authors:GAO Zhiyang  XU Jie
Affiliation:1.School of Safety Science and Engineering,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,China; 2.No.8 Mine of China Pingmei Shenma Group,Pingdingshan 475000,China)
Abstract:To counter the problem of the influence of all factors in prediction of water inflow in coal mine and the low prediction accuracy,an optimized GM(1,1) model based on GM(1,1) model was proposed.The GM(1,1) model and the optimized GM(1,1) model were respectively established,simulation calculation was carried out on the mean water inflow in some mine from 2002 to 2010,and the results indicated that the optimized GM(1,1) model has higher simulation precision.The calculation procedures for the optimized GM(1,1) model based on MATLAB design have the advantage of solving the complicated calculation process and intensive computations.
Keywords:water inflow  prediction  optimized GM(1  1) model  MATLAB
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