中国钴需求趋势及供应问题浅析

钴是重要的战略性矿产,广泛应用于电池、航空发动机、机械和陶瓷等领域。近年来我国钴消费量快速增长,成为第一钴消费国。但是我国钴资源严重短缺,储量仅占全球的1.1%,国内原料供应屈指可数。本文对未来十年钴的需求进行了预测,结果表明到2025年钴的需求将超过10万t。同时指出我国钴资源短缺,供应存在对外依存度高居不下、进口来源单一等问题,并针对日趋激烈的供需矛盾提出了一系列对策建议:1积极"走出去";2加强二次资源的循环利用;3建立储备体系;4鼓励技术创新及替代品研发;5加强国内钴矿勘查。

The forecast of Chinese cobalt and brief analysis of supply

Cobalt is an important strategic mineral and broadly used in battery, aerospace, machinery, ceramic and other fields. Chinese cobalt consumption has been increased so fast in recent years that China is the biggest consumer of cobalt. China has little resources and accounted for only 1.1% of the global reserves, domestic supplies are few to count. This paper forecasts Chinese consumption of cobalt in next 10 years, shows that its demand will exceed 100000 tons by 2025, points out that there is a shortage of cobalt resource in China, the supply is highly dependent on external resources, and the import source is very single and so on, then proposes some advices aimed at the increasingly fierce contradiction between supply and demand.