2017年全球矿业形势分析与展望*

2016年,伴随着大量的不确定因素,全球矿业开始有了复苏迹象。2017年,受全球经济回暖影响,矿产品需求温和增长,全球矿业延续了向好势头,金属价格稳步回升,融资困难进一步缓解,投资者信心重新回归。展望未来,中国发展进入新时代将为全球矿业增添新引擎,“一带一路”倡议的顺利推进将重构全球矿业新格局,世界范围对环境保护的关注将重构全球矿业管理新秩序,科技创新将为全球矿业发展带来新动力。因此,我们认为,全球矿业在经历了2003-2015年超级周期之后,进入了一个新的发展阶段。

Analysis on global mining in 2017 and Outlook

In 2016, with a large amount of uncertainties, the global mining industry started to show signs of recovery. In 2017, due to the global economic rebound, the demand for metals increased moderately. The global mining industry continued its good momentum. The prices of metals rose steadily. The financing difficulties were further alleviated and the confidence of investors returned to normal. Looking into the future, China"s development entering a new era will add new engines to the global mining industry. The smooth progress of " The Belt and Road Initiative" will rebuild a new pattern of global mining industry. Concern over the environmental protection worldwide will rebuild a new global order for mining management. The technological innovation will bring new impetus to the development of the global mining industry. Therefore, we believe that the global mining industry has entered a new stage of development after experiencing the supercycle of 2003-2015.