全球钾盐资源需求及供需格局分析

中国是世界上钾盐生产、进口及消费大国,对外依赖度较高。钾盐作为化肥的生产原料是一种消耗性战略资源,成为国家粮食安全的重要支撑,因此研究全球钾盐需求前景及未来供需格局演变对保障国内资源安全具有十分重要的战略意义。本文首先对钾盐资源分布地区及主要产区进行总结,在对主要钾盐资源消费地区消费历史、现状进行梳理基础上,以农业发达程度对国家分类,并以此为依据对未来全球钾盐消费量进行初步预测。结合未来供需预测,文章对未来全球钾盐资源供需格局演化进行分析,表明以中国为主的亚洲地区正成为全球钾盐消费中心,印度、东盟、巴西等国是未来消费量增加的主要推动力,未来钾盐市场竞争将进一步加剧。

Analysis of Supply and Demand Patterns ofPotassium Salt Resources in the World

China is the world"s largest producer, importer, and consumer of potassium salt with a high import dependency currently. As the raw material of chemical fertilizer, potassium salt is a consumable and strategic resource. It is a vital supporter for the national food security, so it is of important strategic significance to study the demand prospect and future supply and demand pattern of potassium salt in order to ensure domestic resource security. This paper introduced the distribution and production areas of potassium salt firstly, and then classified the nations based on the consumption records, present situation of the consumption area and agriculture development level. Finally, according to the classification, this paper forecasted the future global consumption quantities of the potassium salt. Combined the forecast of the future demand and supply, this paper analyzed the supply and demand pattern of the future global potassium salt resource and it shows that the Asian wither representative nation like China is becoming the global consumption center of potassium salt, and India, ASEAN, Brazil are the main driving force of the consumption in the future and the completion of potassium salt is becoming much more fiercely.