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最优沉降组合预测模型及应用
引用本文:李猛,谢正文,付艳. 最优沉降组合预测模型及应用[J]. 西部探矿工程, 2008, 20(8)
作者姓名:李猛  谢正文  付艳
作者单位:1. 河南地球物理工程勘察院,河南,郑州,450044
2. 中国计量学院计量技术学院,浙江,杭州,310018
3. 河南省地球物理工程勘察院,河南,郑州,450044
摘    要:沉降预测在公路工程建设中具有重要的意义.利用实测沉降资料进行路堤沉降预测的常用模型,可以较好地反映其沉降变化发展规律及发展趋势,但尚存在一定的局限性,为了尽多的利用全部的有用信息,利用"组合预测"的思想,提出一种采用多种常用预测模型进行组合的预测方法,从而可根据有限的实测数据达到预测路基沉降的目的.组合预测法的关键是确定组合的权重,在讨论传统组合预测方法基础上,引入熵值法计算权重,工程实例表明,熵权法较其他权重计算方法精度更高,有明显的优越性.

关 键 词:沉降  组合预测  最小绝对值法  熵权  最优  路基沉降  传统组合  预测模型  应用  Application  Forecasting Model  Combined  Settlement  精度  计算方法  熵权法  工程实例  熵值法  权重  预测法  实测数据  有限  预测方法  思想

Optimization Settlement Combined Forecasting Model and its Application
LI Meng,XIE Zheng-wen,FU Yan. Optimization Settlement Combined Forecasting Model and its Application[J]. West-china Exploration Engineering, 2008, 20(8)
Authors:LI Meng  XIE Zheng-wen  FU Yan
Affiliation:LI Meng1,XIE Zheng-wen2,FU Yan3(1.Henan Academy of Geophysical , Engineering Exploration,Zhengzhou Henan 450044,China,2.Collage of Metrological , Engineering,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou Zhejiang 310018,3.Henan Academy of Geophysical , Engineering Exploration,China)
Abstract:Settlement prediction is very important in the road construction.The normal model for embankment settlement forecasting by using of settlement data can fit well its settlement variation regularity and development trend.But certain limitation still exists.In order to make full use of the useful information as much as possible,with the idea of combined prediction,an optimization settlement combined forecasting model has been put forward,which can forecast the embankment development by using limited measured s...
Keywords:settlement  combined forecasting  the least absolute value  entropy weight  
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