中东乱局对中国能源安全的影响分析

中东地区是全球原油探明储量最多的地区，中东地区的战乱问题不仅影响着本地区的经济发展和政治稳定，而且影响着全球的能源格局，进一步影响中国的能源安全。为了更好地研究中国能源的安全问题，首先分析了中东石油资源在全球的地位以及中国石油供应对中东地区的依赖性，然后通过分析中东地缘政治演变与国际油价相关关系、国际油价波动与中国石油价格的相关关系来研究中东乱局对中国石油市场的影响。最后，指出了中东乱局的现状与未来走势以及其对中国能源供给与能源通道的影响，中国对中东地区主要产油国和陆上的油气走廊应给予更多的关注。出于中国自身的石油安全环境因素考虑，中东应是中国能源外交的重中之重，要综合运用政治、经济、外交等手段来构建有益于中国能源安全的国际关系。

IMPACT OF MIDDLE EAST'S MESS ON CHINA'S ENERGY SECURITY

Middle East holds the most proven oil reserve, but its wars impact not only the local economy and politic stability, but also the global energy market, even China‘s energy security. This paper analyzes its position in global oil resource and China’s dependence, studies the relation between its politic evolution and global oil price, the relation between the global oil price fluctuation and China‘s oil price, and reviews its mess situation and trend, presents its influence on China’s energy supply and channels. China should pay more attention to the major oil producers and continental oil gas channels. Middle East should be a paramount mission for China‘s energy diplomacy regarding China’s energy security by using political, economic and diplomatic means.