| 基于瓦斯涌出时间序列的煤与瓦斯突出预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓明,张国枢,陈清华.基于瓦斯涌出时间序列的煤与瓦斯突出预报[J].煤炭学报,2010,35(2):260-263. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓明 张国枢 陈清华 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽理工大学煤矿安全高效开采省部共建教育部重点实验室;阜阳师范学院计算机与信息学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽省高校科技创新团队计划资助项目(2006KJ005TD);;安徽省教育厅自然科学基金资助项目(KJ2009B008) |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对工作面突出前夕瓦斯涌出浓度时间序列（简称G序列）的分析,提出了利用股市技术分析方法进行突出预报，以山西晋城寺河煤矿“5·20”突出事故监测数据为基础，绘制了工作面G序列K线图。研究表明:正常生产时期，K线实体很小，为小K线或十字线，近似一条平稳水平线；突出前夕，G序列K线整体上呈上扬趋势，阳阴实体明显变大，K线上升过程中多次出现“三阳线”（中阳或大阳线）连拉，表现为一种脉冲信号。根据K线上述变化特征可实现突出预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 煤与瓦斯突出 预报 瓦斯涌出浓度 股市技术分析 K线图 |
Forecast of coal and gas outburst based on time series of gas concentration |
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| DENG Ming,ZHANG Guo-shu,CHEN Qing-hua.Forecast of coal and gas outburst based on time series of gas concentration[J].Journal of China Coal Society,2010,35(2):260-263. |
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| Authors: | DENG Ming ZHANG Guo-shu CHEN Qing-hua |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Key Laboratory of Safety and High Efficiency Mining/a>;Ministry of Education/a>;Anhui University of Science & Technology/a>;Huainan 232001/a>;China/a>;2. Col-lege of Computer & Information/a>;Fuyang Normal College/a>;Fuyang 236041/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | By studying the time series of gas emission concentration before coal and gas outburst,the stock market the-ory was proposed to forecast coal and gas outburst. Based on the data of 5.20 coal and gas outburst of Sihe Coal Mine in Jincheng,the K line charts for time series of gas emission concentration,named as G series in short,were drawn. The results indicate that the K line is acted as little K line or cross line with little variance at normal production periods. Before outburst,the K line has an ascending... |
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| Keywords: | coal and gas outburst forecast gas emission concentration stock technical analysis K line chart |
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