矿业项目投资风险分析的实用方法及其应用

由于矿业项目建设周期长、见效慢、投资具有不可逆性，同时生产对象（矿体）的属性复杂多变，不确定性强，因此，矿业项目具有更大的风险，使经济评价成为矿业项目立项的前提，风险性分析则是矿业项目成功的保证。根据矿业项目的特点，利用敏感性分析和概率分布研究了矿业项目风险性分析的实用数学方法，并结合实例验证了该方法的实用性和可行性。

A Practical Method for Investment Risk Analysis of Mining Projects and Its Application

Due to its long construction period, slow effect, investment irreversibility and complex properties and strong uncertainty of the production object (orebody), the mining projects have greater risks, making the economic evaluation a prerequisite for the set-up of a mining project and the risk analysis a guarantee for its success. According to the features of mining projects, a practical mathematical method for the risk analysis of mining projects is developed using sensitivity analysis and probability distribution, and its practicality and feasibility are validated with a real case.