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| 串联水库联合供水的风险分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 韩宇平,阮本清,解建仓,王晓辉.串联水库联合供水的风险分析[J].水利学报,2003,34(6):14-21. |
| 作者姓名： | 韩宇平 阮本清 解建仓 王晓辉 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 西安理工大学,水利水电学院,陕西,西安,710048;中国水利水电科学研究院,水资源研究所,北京,100044 2. 中国水利水电科学研究院,水资源研究所,北京,100044 3. 西安理工大学,水利水电学院,陕西,西安,710048 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然基金重点项目 ( 50 2 390 90 )，科学技术部社会公益研究专项资金项目“首都圈水资源保障研究”，水利部科技创新项目 (SCX2 0 0 1- 0 8)联合资助 |
| 摘 要： | 为干流多个串联水库与地下水库联合对区域供水系统建立风险分析模型。以系统分析的思想为基础，考察来水和用水的不确定性，利用地表水和地下水联合调配数学模型，采用随机模拟技术对串联水库联合供水的风险进行定量描述。对石家庄地区的分析计算结果表明，该方法充分考虑了区域工农业需水量约束和生态环境需水约束，得出的结论对区域决策具有参考意义。 |
| 关 键 词： | 串联水库联合供水系统 随机模拟 联合调配数学模型 风险分析 |
| 文章编号： | 0559-9350(2003)06-0014-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年5月20日 |
Risk analysis of water supply system with serial cascade reservoirs |
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| HAN Yuping.Risk analysis of water supply system with serial cascade reservoirs[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2003,34(6):14-21. | |
| Authors: | HAN Yuping |
| Affiliation: | Xi'an University of Technology |
| Abstract: | Based on the system analysis the risk analysis model for regional water supply system with serial cascade reservoirs is established. The uncertainties of inflow and water consumption are taken into account. The optimization dispatching model of cascade reservoirs in associate with groundwater is utilized and the technique of random simulation is adopted. The water supply system of Shijiazhuang region is analyzed as a case study to demonstrate the application of the model. In the analysis the constraints of agriculture and industry water demand as well as the water demand of environment are taken into consideration. |
| Keywords: | risk analysis water supply system cascade reservoirs ground water random simulation optimized dispatch |
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