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基于模糊物元和墒权迭代理论的水库兴利调度综合评价方法
引用本文:姚荣,贾海峰,张娜.基于模糊物元和墒权迭代理论的水库兴利调度综合评价方法[J].水利学报,2009,40(1).
作者姓名:姚荣  贾海峰  张娜
作者单位:1. 河北省水利厅,河北,石家庄,050011;清华大学环境科学与工程系,北京,100084
2. 清华大学环境科学与工程系,北京,100084
3. 河海大学水文水资源及环境学院,江苏,南京,210098;河北省水文局,河北,石家庄,050031
基金项目:国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划) 
摘    要:基于墒权迭代理论和模糊物元法建立多目标水库兴利调度的综合评价方法。该评价方法不仅可直接确定评价目标的无偏好权重,还能根据可行方案综合贴近度大小决定最优方案。由于评价过程中隐含了水库兴利调度的特点及专家和水库管理人员的经验意见,因此有效地避免了评价目标权重及优选方案确定的人为偏好性。应用该方法对浙江省悬渚水库11种可行兴利调度方案进行了评价,确定的最优调度方案与模糊模式识别交叉迭代模型评价结果一致,且明显优于现行调度方案,验证了该方法切实可行且可操作性强。

关 键 词:模糊物元  墒权  贴近度  水库  兴利调度  综合评价

Comprehensive evaluation method of reservoir dispatch for beneficial purpose based on fuzzy matter element and entropy objective iteration theory
YAO Rong.Comprehensive evaluation method of reservoir dispatch for beneficial purpose based on fuzzy matter element and entropy objective iteration theory[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2009,40(1).
Authors:YAO Rong
Affiliation:1. Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2.Water Conservancy of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050011, China
Abstract:On the basis of fuzzy matter element theory and entropy objective iteration algorithm a comprehensive evaluation method of reservoir dispatch for beneficial purpose is established. By using this method not only the without preference weight of the evaluated object can be directly determined, but also the best scheme can be found according to the amount of approach degree of every possible scheme. Since the characteristics of reservoir dispatch for beneficial purpose and the objective intention of decision maker as well as the natural property of alternative are implied in the process of evaluation, the effects of artificial preference on weight of evaluation object and determination of the best scheme can be effectively avoided. The proposed method is applied to evaluate the 11 dispatch schemes for beneficial purpose of the Xuanzhu Reservoir, Zhejiang Province. It is found that the best scheme determined by the proposed method is the same as the scheme selected by fuzzy pattern recognition crossover iteration model and much better than the current used dispatch scheme.
Keywords:fuzzy matter element  entropy objective  approach degree  reservoir  dispatch for  beneficial purpose  comprehensive evaluation
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