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| 水库群供水调度预警系统研究及应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 黄 强,万 芳,邱 林,黄文政.水库群供水调度预警系统研究及应用[J].水利学报,2011,42(10). |
| 作者姓名： | 黄 强 万 芳 邱 林 黄文政 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 西安理工大学西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室,陕西西安,710048 2. 华北水利水电学院,河南郑州,450011 3. 台湾海洋大学河海工程系,台湾基隆 |
| 基金项目： | 国家重点基础研究发展计划(2011CB403306); 国家自然科学基金(51109189) |
| 摘 要： | 针对水库供水调度的实时性和不确定性，通过分析入库径流超越机率，以缺水率最小为目标函数，建立水库群供水调度模型，并应用基于免疫进化的蚁群算法对模型进行求解，绘制水库群供水调度操作规线；应用模糊数学、信息熵等原理，确定现状水库供水指标D、未来供水水情指标S以及水库供水预警指标和应变措施，建立了水库群供水调度预警系统。实例计算表明，本文建立的水库供水预警系统能够合理、有效地为调度操作人员提供正确、及时的决策。 |
| 关 键 词： | 水库供水调度 预警系统 水库调度操作规线 免疫进化的蚁群算法 |
Early warning system of reservoirs for water supply dispatching and its application |
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| HUANG Qiang,WAN Fang,QIU Lin and HUANG Wen-zheng.Early warning system of reservoirs for water supply dispatching and its application[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2011,42(10). | |
| Authors: | HUANG Qiang WAN Fang QIU Lin and HUANG Wen-zheng |
| Affiliation: | HUANG Qiang1,WAN Fang1,QIU Lin2,HUANG Wen-zheng3 (1.Key Lab of Northwest Water Resources and Environment Ecology of MOE,Xi'an 710048,China,2.North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450011,3.Taiwan Ocean University,Keelung,China) |
| Abstract: | According to the characteristics of real-time and uncertainty of reservoir water supply dispatching,the model of reservoir water supply dispatching has been established based on the analysis on exceedance probability of reservoir inflow with the minimum water shortage rate as the objective function.The ant colony optimization based on immune evolutionary algorithm was applied to solve the problem of reservoirs dispatch optimization and formulate the operation rules curve.The principles of fuzzy mathematics ... |
| Keywords: | reservoir water supply dispatching early warning system operation rules curve of reservoir operation IACO |
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