南水北调中线工程水量仿真调度模型研究

南水北调中线工程是一个大型复杂调水系统，本文在分析其调水特点的基础上，应用系统科学的方法建立了该系统的水量仿真调度模型，合理地确定了系统网络结构和模型计算原则，并通过加入辨识模块和控制修正模块，使模型能快速找出满意解。通过仿真计算，得出了引汉水给沿线各省市的分配水量。对比分析引汉前后的供水情况，表明引汉水与当地水源的联合调节，可使沿线各省、市各用水部门的供水保证率有较大提高。

Water dispatch simulation model for Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project

Based on the analysis of characteristics of water transfer, a simulation model for water dispatch is established based on the principle of system science. Reasonable rules and system network structure are established. The satisfactory solution can be acquired by introducing the identification and modification module. Water allocated to each province along the route is also obtained by simulation, and the result shows that the reliabilities of water supply in these provinces are significantly improved if the transferred water is jointly dispatched with the local water resources.