| 我国水库大坝风险评价研究进展及展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 王志军.我国水库大坝风险评价研究进展及展望[J].大坝与安全,2008(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王志军 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学水利水电工程学院,江苏,南京,210098;水资源高效利用与工程安全国家工程研究中心,江苏,南京,210098 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑计划，国家自然科学基金，中国水电工程顾问集团公司科技项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 首先给出了水库大坝风险的概念,分析了大坝风险分析的内容与程序,得出了大坝风险分析的框架结构.根据大坝风险分析的内容,从大坝风险分析方法、水库大坝防洪风险、溃坝模式、溃坝洪水、溃坝概率、溃坝后果、风险转移、风险标准、风险决策9个方面,综述了国内当前开展大坝风险研究的进展状况,并对今后的发展趋势进行了展望.
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| 关 键 词： | 水库大坝 风险评价 进展 展望 |
Research progress and prospect in risk assessment of reservoir dam in China |
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| WANG Zhi-jun.Research progress and prospect in risk assessment of reservoir dam in China[J].Large Dam & Safety,2008(3). |
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| Authors: | WANG Zhi-jun |
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| Abstract: | The concept of reservoir dam risk was put forward. The content and procedure of dam risk assessment were analyzed. The frame structure of dam risk assessment was achieved. According to the content of dam risk assessment, current research progress of dam risk in China was summarized from nine aspects, such as evaluation method, flood-control risk, dam-break mode, dam-break flood, dam-break probability, dam-break consequences, risk diversion, risk standard and risk decision-making. In the end, the development... |
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| Keywords: | reservoir dam risk assessment progress prospect |
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