| 干旱预报模型分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 鲍志伟,张忠国,王永东.干旱预报模型分析[J].东北水利水电,2009,27(11):48-51. |
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| 作者姓名： | 鲍志伟 张忠国 王永东 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁省水文水资源勘测局丹东分局,辽宁,丹东,118000
2. 辽宁省水文水资源勘测局抚顺分局,辽宁,抚顺,113015 |
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| 摘 要： | 干旱模拟模型密切结合农业干旱特点，通过把降水、土含变化、作物需水、地下水变化等多种因素联系起来，对干旱的发生、发展过程进行模拟计算，从而得到一系列包括缺水的时间过程、量及变化等多项指标来反映作物缺水情况．并通过综合分析来确定干旱的年、季和作物关键生长期的旱情指标及相应的旱情等级，提供干旱信息，为干旱的规划、监测和预报提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 干旱的时段变化 统计特征 干旱监测 干旱的预测 |
Analysis of drought prediction model |
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| BAO Zhi-wei,ZHANG Zhong-guo,WANG Yong-dong.Analysis of drought prediction model[J].Water Resources & Hydropower of Northeast China,2009,27(11):48-51. |
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| Authors: | BAO Zhi-wei ZHANG Zhong-guo WANG Yong-dong |
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| Abstract: | Combining with the agriculture drought characteristics,the drought simulation model is used for the simulation and calculation of drought occurrence and development by contacting the factors of precipitation,soil moisture change,crop water requirement,groundwater changes,and so on.The obtained series indicators are used to reflect the water shortage of the crop.The paper determines the year and month of drought,drought indicators and corresponding drought grade in the crop key growing period,puts forward th... |
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| Keywords: | drought period changing statistical characteristics drought monitoring drought prediction |
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