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海河流域水资源承载能力研究
引用本文:薛小妮,甘泓,游进军.海河流域水资源承载能力研究[J].中国水利水电科学研究院学报,2012,10(1):53-58.
作者姓名:薛小妮  甘泓  游进军
作者单位:中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所,北京,100038
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(50879091;51021006;50939006);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201101016)
摘    要:本文在分析水资源承载能力基本概念的基础上,阐述了流域水资源承载能力研究的意义。采用水资源承载能力的三层次分析法和相应的模型,对海河流域在四种情景下的水资源承载能力进行计算分析。结果表明,南水北调通水后,海河流域的水资源承载能力有所提高,但仍将处于超载状态,但通过适当调整经济发展模式可以有效缓解流域内水资源压力。进而从规划管理措施层面讨论了提高海河流域水资源承载能力的途径。

关 键 词:水资源承载能力  三层次分析法  南水北调  超载度  用水弹性系数

Study on water resources carrying capacity of Haihe River Basin
XUE Xiao-ni,GAN Hong and YOU Jin-jun.Study on water resources carrying capacity of Haihe River Basin[J].Journal of China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,2012,10(1):53-58.
Authors:XUE Xiao-ni  GAN Hong and YOU Jin-jun
Affiliation:(Department of Water Resources,IWHR,Beijing 100038,China)
Abstract:The significance of regional water resources carrying capacity(WRCC) is stated based on its concept and characteristics.According to the three-level methodology and relevant model,the WRCC of Haihe River basin in four schemes is analyzed.The results show that the WRCC of Haihe River basin is improved after operation of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project,but its water resources carrying capacity is still overload.The WRCC can be improved effectively through transformation of economic development models with suggestions of measures on water management and planning.
Keywords:water resources carrying capacity  three-level methodology  South-to-North Water Transfer Project  overloading characteristics  elasticity coefficient of water use
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