近10年来我国水资源承载力研究综述

阐释水资源承载力的概念,分析水资源承载力的研究历程。对流域、地区和城市的研究,从局部领域到生态、经济系统,继而整个社会、经济、环境等复杂系统。总结了我国水资源承载力的研究方法,从简单、直观的常规趋势法,发展到目前的定性与定量相结合的,能对整个社会、经济、人口、环境进行系统分析的多目标决策法。探讨了水资源承载力的未来研究趋势,认为它将更多地结合现代化的技术手段和方法,结合特殊区域进行多学科的交叉研究,并向着广域和局部的两极化发展。

Review on the study of water resources carrying capacity in China in the last ten years

Based on the explanation of the concept of water resources carrying capacity, it is presented that the research of water resources carrying capacity for river basins, regions, and cities has been developed from local area to ecological and economic system, and finally to the complex system of the whole society, economy and environment. Study methods in China were summarized, including the simple and visualized routine tendency method, the qualitative and quantitative multi-objective decision method, which can be used to analyze the society, economy, population and environment systematically. It is presented that the water resources carrying capacity in future would be studied using more modern techniques and methods, focusing on special regions and combining multidisciplinary methods. The study would be developed both locally and extensively.