| 分位数回归在大坝变形监测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁国根. 分位数回归在大坝变形监测中的应用[J]. 江西水利科技, 2014, 0(4): 322-324 |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁国根 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省水利规划设计院,江西南昌330029 |
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| 摘 要： | 研究了基于分位数回归的大坝变形监测预测模型,并结合实例进行分析和预报,通过与多项式模型及指数平滑法的拟合精度和预测结果的比较,证明分位数回归法有很好的拟合效果和预测精度,可以很好地应用于大坝变形监测的数据处理中.
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| 关 键 词： | 分位数回归 大坝变形监测 多项式模型 指数平滑法 |
Application Of quantile regression method in dam deformation monitoring |
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| YUAN Guo-gen. Application Of quantile regression method in dam deformation monitoring[J]. Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology, 2014, 0(4): 322-324 |
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| Authors: | YUAN Guo-gen |
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| Affiliation: | YUAN Guo-gen (Jiangxi Provincial Water Conservancy Planning and Designing institute, Nanchang 330029, China) |
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| Abstract: | The forecast model of dam deformation monitoring based on quantile regression is introduced. Combined with the exam- pie of analysis and forecast and through comparing the fitting precision and the prediction results of the polynomial model and the exponential smoothing method, the quantile regression method has a higher fitting effect and prediction accuracy. It can be well applied to process the data of dam deformation monitoring. |
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| Keywords: | Quantile regression Dam deformation monitoring Polynomial model Exponential smoothing method |
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