| 基于风险的病险水库除险决策技术 |
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| 引用本文： | 盛金保,赫健,王昭升.基于风险的病险水库除险决策技术[J].水利水电科技进展,2008,28(2):25-29. |
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| 作者姓名： | 盛金保 赫健 王昭升 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京水利科学研究院,江苏,南京,210029
2. 浙江省水利厅,浙江,杭州,310009 |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部社会公益研究项目
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国家科技支撑计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用风险分析及风险管理技术,研究群坝风险排序技术、单座水库大坝风险要素排序技术,以河南省安阳市的10座小型水库为例进行风险排序,以江苏省某水库东副坝为例进行风险要素排序,探讨在资金有限条件下确保最大可能地降低病险水库风险的技术。研究成果可应用于目前正在开展的病险水库除险加固决策。
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| 关 键 词： | 病险水库 风险排序 溃坝后果综合评价 除险决策技术 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-7647(2008)02-0025-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年6月12日 |
Decision-making for reservoir danger removal based on risk analysis |
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| SHENG Jin-bao,HE Jian,WANG Zhao-sheng.Decision-making for reservoir danger removal based on risk analysis[J].Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2008,28(2):25-29. |
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| Authors: | SHENG Jin-bao HE Jian WANG Zhao-sheng |
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| Abstract: | Based on the risk analysis and risk management technology, methods for risk ranking of dam groups and risk factors ranking of a single reservoir dam were studied.Risk ranking of 10 small-scale reservoirs in Anyang City of Henan Province and risk factors ranking for the east auxiliary dam of a reservoir in Jiangsu Province were performed to minimize risk with a limited budget.The results of this research can be applied to decision-making for danger removal and reinforcement of dangerous reservoirs. |
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| Keywords: | dangerous reservoir risk ranking comprehensive evaluation of dam failure decision-making technology for danger removal |
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