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洪水期望概率
引用本文:吕振前.洪水期望概率[J].四川水力发电,1996,15(2):26-30.
作者姓名:吕振前
作者单位:成都勘测设计研究院
摘    要:正确的设计洪水计算方法应满足设计标准(由设计标准规范给出)的要求,期望概率就是以满足设计标准为目标的估计方法,本文以简单的数学推导导出了期望概率的计算公式,给出了连续系列和不连续系列期望概率的计算方法,具有可操作性作了对于从事工程水文设计和研究的人员具有一定的参考价值和学术价值。

关 键 词:洪水  设计洪水  期望概率  统计  试验

Flood Expecting Probability
Lu Zhenqian.Flood Expecting Probability[J].Sichuan Water Power,1996,15(2):26-30.
Authors:Lu Zhenqian
Affiliation:Chengdu Hydroelectric Investigation and Design Research Institute
Abstract:Correct computation method for design flood must meet the requirement of deeing creteria (presented by Design Creteria). Expecting probability is a evaluation method satisfing design creteria. Computation formula for expecting probability is derived from simple mathematics Computation method for continuousset and discontinuous set of expecting probability, give reference and academics to personnels who are engaged in engineering hydrology design and research.
Keywords:design creteria expecting probability statistical experiment sambling method
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