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GFS降雨预报在大伙房水库实时跨流域调水决策的应用研究
引用本文:王国利,彭勇,何斌,梁国华. GFS降雨预报在大伙房水库实时跨流域调水决策的应用研究[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2010, 21(2): 1-4
作者姓名:王国利  彭勇  何斌  梁国华
作者单位:大连理工大学,水利工程学院,大连,116024
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目 
摘    要:分析了跨流域调水工程与水库控制运用规划成果存在的问题,阐述了实时调度中考虑预报信息的可行性。以辽宁省东水西调工程为例,通过对浑河流域"05813"洪水的模拟调度来分析规划与实时调度两种方式的差异,结果表明:考虑GFS预报信息的实时预报调度方式可以获得降低防洪安全和增加洪水资源利用率的双重效益,从工程的实时调度中优化了地区水资源的配置。本文的研究思路可以为其他跨流域调水工程的实时运行提供参考。

关 键 词:GFS降雨预报  实时调水决策  跨流域调水  大伙房水库

Application of GFS Precipitation Forecast to Real Time Decision Making in Inter-basin Water Transfer of Dahuofang Reservoir
WANG Guo-li,PENG Yong,HE Bin,LIANG Guo-hua. Application of GFS Precipitation Forecast to Real Time Decision Making in Inter-basin Water Transfer of Dahuofang Reservoir[J]. Journal of water resources and water engineering, 2010, 21(2): 1-4
Authors:WANG Guo-li  PENG Yong  HE Bin  LIANG Guo-hua
Affiliation:WANG Guo-li,PENG Yong,HE Bin,LIANG Guo-hua(School of Civil , Hydraulic Engineering,Dalian Univeristy of Technology,Dalian 116024,China)
Abstract:This paper analyzed the existing problems in the inter-basin water transfer engineering and the planning result in the reservoir control and operation,discussed the feasibility of considering the forecast information into the real-time operateion.Taking the east water to west project in Liaoning Province as an example,through the simulated operation of 05813 flood in Hunhe River,analyzed the difference between the two operating method of planning and real-time ways.The results have shown that: The real-time...
Keywords:GFS precipitation forecast  real-time water transfer decision-making  inter-basin water transfer  Dahuofang Reservoir
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