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近40年来唐河上游降水-径流变化及原因探讨
引用本文:胡珊珊,赵帆,张广英.近40年来唐河上游降水-径流变化及原因探讨[J].南水北调与水利科技,2009,7(5):73-75.
作者姓名:胡珊珊  赵帆  张广英
作者单位:1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室,北京,100101;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100039
2. 湖北省漳河工程管理局,湖北,荆门,448156
3. 保定市水土保持试验站,河北,易县,074200
基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目资助 
摘    要:以海河水系唐河上游流域为研究对象,根据1960年-2002年流域的降水及实测径流资料,利用肯德尔秩次相关法和双累积曲线,分析了年降水、年径流和降水-径流关系的变化趋势.结果表明,降水量不存在明显变化趋势,而径流量存在明显的下降趋势.整个降水-径流系列可以划分为三个阶段:1960年-1978年,1979年-1995年,1996年-2002年,三个阶段的降水-径流相关系数依次减少,降水-径流相关性减弱.此外,从流域内土地利用类型变化、水利工程建设、地下水资源开发利用状况等几个方面对流域降水-径流变化原因进行了初步分析与评价.

关 键 词:唐河上游  降水-径流变化  土地利用变化  人类活动

Change of Rainfall-Runoff and Its Causes in the Upper Tang Watershed in Recent 40 Years
HU Shan-shan,ZHAO Fan,ZHANG Guang-ying.Change of Rainfall-Runoff and Its Causes in the Upper Tang Watershed in Recent 40 Years[J].South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology,2009,7(5):73-75.
Authors:HU Shan-shan  ZHAO Fan  ZHANG Guang-ying
Affiliation:1.Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research;CAS;Beijing 100101;China;2.Graduate School;Beijing 100039;3.Zhanghe Engineering Authority;Jingmen 448156;4.Baoding Experimental Station for Soil and Water Conservation;Yixian 074200;China
Abstract:Kendall method and double mass curve are applied to analyze the variation trend of annual rainfall,runoff and rainfall-runoff relationship in the upper Tang watershed in the Haihe River Basin from 1960 to 2002. The result showed that the annual rainfall series had not a visible downtrend but the annual runoff series had an obvious downtrend. The whole rainfall-runoff series could be divided into three periods: 1960~1978,1979~1995,1996~2002. The correlation between rainfall and runoff kept weakening,as its c...
Keywords:upper Tang watershed  rainfall-runoff change  land use change  human activities  
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