| 贝叶斯（Bayes）更新概率在结构维修中应用的讨论 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯兴中.贝叶斯（Bayes）更新概率在结构维修中应用的讨论[J].西北水电,2008(6):52-54. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯兴中 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国水电顾问集团西北勘测设计研究院,西安,710065 |
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| 摘 要： | 叙述了贝叶斯更新概率、贝叶斯定理的概念，进行了公式计算与概率树方法的比较，通过贝叶斯更新概率在结构维修中应用的讨论，使相关概念之间的关系更明晰、简洁；有利于在缺乏工程现场直接试验资料时开展工程结构维修的设计工作，是少投入多产出的好方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 贝叶斯(Bayes)定理 更新概率 结构维修 |
Application of Bayes' updating probability in structure maintenance |
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| FENG Xing-zhong.Application of Bayes'' updating probability in structure maintenance[J].Northwest Water Power,2008(6):52-54. |
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| Authors: | FENG Xing-zhong |
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| Affiliation: | FENG Xing - zhong ( Northwest Hydro Consulting Engineers, CHECC, Xi＇an 710065, China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper describes the concept of Bayes＇updating probability and Bayes＇s theorem and compares the formula calculation and probability tree method. Through discussions of application of Bayes＇updating probability in structure maintenance, the relationship between involved concepts becomes more distinct and simplified, which is beneficial to the design of project structure maintenance in case of lack of direct field test data. It is a good method of less input and more output. |
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| Keywords: | Bayes＇ theorem updating probability structure maintenance |
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