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国内建筑涂料市场影响因素与预测分析
引用本文:田剑,甄江波,李坛.国内建筑涂料市场影响因素与预测分析[J].涂料工业,2020,50(1):83-87.
作者姓名:田剑  甄江波  李坛
作者单位:1.江苏科技大学,江苏镇江212003;
2.中海油常州涂料化工研究院有限公司,江苏常州 213016
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目:生命周期视角下众创空间创业生态系统演化机理与运行绩效研究(项目批准号:17BGL028)
摘    要:中国是全球最大的建筑涂料市场,各涂料厂商在中国建筑涂料市场上进行激烈竞争,能够精准预测行业趋势对各涂料厂商精准决策和投资,提升企业经营质量具有重要意义。文章收集了近 12年建筑业总产值、房地产投资、城镇常住居民人口、 M2和 GDP等影响建筑涂料市场的数据,通过回归分析的方法得出:各影响因素与建筑涂料产量存在紧密且正相关的定量关系,并由此预测了国内建筑涂料市场在未来 3年将稳步发展。

关 键 词:建筑涂料  房地产投资  GDP  回归分析  预测  
收稿时间:2019-07-05

Influencing Factors and Forecast Analysis of Domestic Architectural Coatings Market
Tian Jian,Zhen Jiangbo,Li Tan.Influencing Factors and Forecast Analysis of Domestic Architectural Coatings Market[J].Paint & Coatings Industry,2020,50(1):83-87.
Authors:Tian Jian  Zhen Jiangbo  Li Tan
Affiliation:1. Jiangsu University of Science and Technology,Zhenjiang,Jiangsu 212003,China; 2. CNOOC Changzhou Coatings Chemical Research Institute Co., Ltd.,Changzhou,Jiangsu 213016,China
Abstract:At present,China’s domestic architectural coatings market is the largest in the world. Every coatings manufacturer competes fiercely in the Chinese architectural paint market. It is of great significance for paint manufacturers to make precise decisions and investments and to improve their business quality by accurately predicting the industry trends.This paper collected the data in the last 12 years of the total output value of construction industry,real estate investment,urban resident population,M2 and GDP that affected the architectural coatings market. By regression analysis,it was concluded that there was a close and positive quantitative relationship between the influencing factors and the production volume of architectural coatings,based on which,it was predicted that the domestic architectural coatings market would develop steadily in the next three years.
Keywords:architectural coatings  real estate investment  GDP  regression analysis  prediction
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