| 我国人口总量的非参数预测模型 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张慧芳,张德生,武新乾,侯青霞.我国人口总量的非参数预测模型[J].延边大学理工学报,2007,33(2):90-93. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张慧芳 张德生 武新乾 侯青霞 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 西安理工大学理学院 陕西西安710054(张慧芳，张德生，侯青霞)，西北工业大学 陕西西安710072(武新乾) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 基于正交序列的非参数估计理论,建立了我国人口总量的非参数回归预测模型.并应用此模型对我国1952—2003年的人口总量和GDP总量进行了预测分析.结果表明:非参数回归模型优于线性回归模型,同时正交序列估计效果也优于k-近邻估计.
|
| 关 键 词： | 非参数回归模型 正交序列估计 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4353（2007）02-0090-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-15 |
Nonparametric Prediction Model on the Total Amount of Chinese Population |
| |
| ZHANG Hui-fang,ZHANG De-sheng,WU Xin-qian,HOU Qing-xia.Nonparametric Prediction Model on the Total Amount of Chinese Population[J].Journal of Yanbian University (Natural Science),2007,33(2):90-93. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Hui-fang ZHANG De-sheng WU Xin-qian HOU Qing-xia |
| |
| Abstract: | The nonparametric regression prediction model of the total amount of Chinese population is established by the orthogonal sequence nonparametric estimation theory.The model is applied to predict the total amount of Chinese population,and the results show that nonparametric regression model is better than linear regression model,at the same time,the situation orthogonal sequence estimate is superior to k-near neighbour estimate for the dynamic relation between the total amount of Chinese population and national GDP. |
| |
| Keywords: | nonparametric regression model orthogonal sequence estimation prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
