| 解析法在安徽电网中短期电量预测的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 汪志宏,石雪梅,葛斐.解析法在安徽电网中短期电量预测的实证研究[J].安徽电气工程职业技术学院学报,2012,17(4):69-73. |
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| 作者姓名： | 汪志宏 石雪梅 葛斐 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军陆军军官学院,合肥,230022;安徽省电力经济技术研究院,合肥,230022 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了提高中短期负荷预测的准确度,本文尝试采用解析法对安徽电网中短期用电量开展预测研究。研究结果显示,解析法与传统的延伸预测法相比预测产生偏差的幅度最小,是一种有效的中短期电量预测的基本方法,适宜于安徽电网月度全社会用电量预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 解析法 中短期 电量预测 实证研究 |
Empirical Research of Anhui Grid Power Consumption Short and Medium Term Forecasting Based on Analytical Method |
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| WANG Zhi-hong,SHI Xue-mei,GE Fei.Empirical Research of Anhui Grid Power Consumption Short and Medium Term Forecasting Based on Analytical Method[J].Journal of Anhui Electrical Engineering Professional Technique College,2012,17(4):69-73. |
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| Authors: | WANG Zhi-hong SHI Xue-mei GE Fei |
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| Affiliation: | 1.The People′s Liberation Army Officer LuJun College,230022 Hefei,China; 2.Anhui Province Economy of Electric Power Technology Research Institute,Hefei 230022,China) |
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| Abstract: | For improving the accuracy of load forecasting in short and medium term,the paper attempts to predict Anhui grid medium and short term power consumption by analytical method.The result shows that the analytical method is a effective way because of its minimum forecast error comparing with the traditional extension forecast method,applying to predict all social power consumption per month of Anhui grid. |
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| Keywords: | analytical method short and medium term power consumption forecasting empirical research |
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