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气候变化对防洪安全影响研究面临的机遇与挑战
引用本文:夏军,石卫,张利平,佘敦先,万蕙,邹磊,张平.气候变化对防洪安全影响研究面临的机遇与挑战[J].四川大学学报(工程科学版),2016,48(2):7-13.
作者姓名:夏军  石卫  张利平  佘敦先  万蕙  邹磊  张平
作者单位:武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水安全研究院,水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水安全研究院,水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水安全研究院,水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(No.41571028;No.51279140)
摘    要:全球气候变化背景下的防洪安全影响是国际国内关注的热点问题。随着气候变暖、城镇化快速发展对地区强降水、洪涝等极端事件的影响,未来我国防洪安全保障将面临新的挑战。本文针对中国面临的严重洪涝灾害问题,阐述了全球到中国气候变化对洪涝灾害影响的事实,综述了国际国内最新的研究进展与前沿问题。最后提出了为应对气候变化减少洪涝灾害的若干对策与建议,为未来中国开展气候变化影响下防洪安全研究提供借鉴。

关 键 词:气候变化,洪涝灾害,非平稳,进展,适应性对策
收稿时间:2015/11/30 0:00:00
修稿时间:2015/11/30 0:00:00

Opportunity and Challenge of the Climate Change Impact on Flood Protection
XIA Jun,SHI Wei,ZHANG Liping,SHE Dunxian,WAN Hui,ZOU Lei and ZHANG Ping.Opportunity and Challenge of the Climate Change Impact on Flood Protection[J].Journal of Sichuan University (Engineering Science Edition),2016,48(2):7-13.
Authors:XIA Jun  SHI Wei  ZHANG Liping  SHE Dunxian  WAN Hui  ZOU Lei and ZHANG Ping
Affiliation:State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ., The Research Inst. for Water Security,Wuhan Univ., Hubei Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Water Resources Security,,State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ.,State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ., The Research Inst. for Water Security,Wuhan Univ., Hubei Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Water Resources Security,,State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ., The Research Inst. for Water Security,Wuhan Univ., Hubei Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Water Resources Security,,State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ.,State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ. and State Key Lab. of Water Resources and Hydropower Eng. Sci.,Wuhan Univ.
Abstract:The climate change impact on flood protection is a global issue. With climate warming and the rapid development of urbanization, flood protection of China will face with the great challenge from the heavy rainfall and extreme events such as flood disaster. How the occurrence trends and variation of extreme floods under climate change, has become the forefront questions of research. Aiming at the serious flood disaster in China, this paper described the fact that climate change had the impact on flood disaster from the global to China, and reviewed the latest and cutting-edge research. Finally, some countermeasures and suggestions for reducing the loss of flood disaster under climate change, were proposed as the reference for the future study of climate change impact on flood protection.
Keywords:climate change  flood disaster  non-stationarity  research progress  adaptive strategy
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